Strategy
Player Props Strategy
Why soft markets favor sharp bettors.
Player props are typically lower-limit, lower-vig markets that move slower than main markets — making them friendlier to research-driven bettors.
Why props are softer
Books spend the most modeling effort on main markets (spread, total). Props markets often have stale lines that haven't adjusted to news.
The injury edge
Late scratches, rotations, and minutes-played news move props faster than books can react.
Friend-prop-bets
Some of the best friend-bets are props: 'Steph hits 5+ threes', 'Mahomes 2+ TDs'. Lock the wording in Settled.
FAQ
Are props really softer than spreads?
Generally yes — but books are catching up fast, especially on stars in major sports.
The friend-bet edge.
Every strategy on this page assumes you have records. Settled is the receipt for every bet you make with friends — no juice, no vig, just signed wagers between two people.
Create your accountOther strategies
- Expected Value (EV) BettingThe math behind every long-term winning bettor.
- Bankroll ManagementHow professional bettors avoid going broke.
- Parlay StrategyWhen parlays are smart, when they're a tax on hope.
- Hedging StrategyWhen to lock in profit, when to let it ride.
- Arbitrage BettingRisk-free profit by betting both sides at different books.
- Line ShoppingThe single highest-ROI habit a bettor can build.